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 Posted:   Jul 26, 2017 - 8:22 PM   
 By:   Avatarded   (Member)

https://ntsb.gov/_layouts/ntsb.aviation/brief.aspx?ev_id=20150622X64755&key=1

NTSB Identification: WPR15FA195

Summary:

NTSB investigators either traveled in support of this investigation or conducted a significant amount of investigative work without any travel, and used data obtained from various sources to prepare this aircraft accident report.

The private pilot was performing airwork and was in contact with an air traffic controller. The pilot informed the controller that he would be performing airwork between 2,500 and 10,000 ft mean sea level (msl). The controller explained that he would probably lose radio contact and would not be able to provide flight following below 7,000 ft msl. About 1 hour later, the pilot advised the controller that he would be descending, then would climb to 9,000 ft msl and return to the airport, and the controller acknowledged. Subsequently, the controller made several attempts to contact the pilot, but no further response was received from him. Shortly thereafter, an airplane flying in the area of the accident site reported to air traffic control that a small fire was located in a river bed. Local authorities responded to the fire and confirmed that it was the accident site.


A review of Federal Aviation Administration radar data showed the airplane performing multiple turns and rapidly changing altitude and airspeed while performing the airwork. At one point, the airplane descended to less than 100 ft above a mountain ridgeline. The last radar targets showed the airplane heading eastbound about 1,600 ft agl while approaching the area of the accident site. Two witnesses located near the accident site stated that, as the airplane flew overhead, they noted no engine anomalies.

Postaccident examination of the wreckage did not reveal any preimpact malfunctions that would have precluded normal operation. Wreckage and impact signatures were consistent with a high-energy high-angle impact with terrain. It is likely that as the pilot continued to perform low level airwork, he did not properly gauge the airplane's distance from terrain and failed to control the airplane in time to avoid impacting terrain.

The pilot's high cholesterol and the medications he was using to treat it likely did not cause any acute symptoms. Limited samples were available for toxicology testing; therefore, it could not be determined whether the ethanol detected in the pilot's muscle tissue was due to ingestion or postmortem production nor whether impairment due to ethanol contributed to the accident. The testing also detected butalbital and codeine, both of which are impairing. The butalbital was within the therapeutic level, indicating that he was likely impaired by it. The presence of both codeine and butalbital indicates that the pilot had likely recently used a combination product that contained at least these two medications. Therefore, it is likely that the pilot's mental and/or physical abilities required for the duration of the high workload flight performance was impaired by the combined effects of butalbital and codeine and that this impairment contributed to the accident.


The National Transportation Safety Board determines the probable cause(s) of this accident as follows:
The pilot's failure to maintain clearance from terrain during low-level airwork, which resulted in uncontrolled collision with terrain. Contributing to the accident was the pilot's impairment from the combined effects of butalbital and codeine.

Full detail:


HISTORY OF FLIGHT

On June 22, 2015, about 0930 Pacific daylight time, an experimental, exhibition-category Short Brothers PLC S312 Tucano T MK 1 airplane, N206PZ, impacted terrain about 16 miles south of Maricopa, California. The private pilot was fatally injured, and the airplane was destroyed. The airplane was registered to Tucano Flyer LLC and was being operated as a 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 personal flight. Visual meteorological conditions existed near the accident site about the time of the accident, and a flight plan had not been filed. The flight originated from Camarillo Airport (CMA), Camarillo, California, at 0810.

According to the air traffic control (ATC) communications, the pilot was in contact with the Southern California Air Route Traffic Control Center and was receiving advisories while performing airwork. At 0823, the pilot informed the controller that he would be performing airwork between 2,500 and 10,000 ft mean sea level (msl). The controller explained that he would probably lose radio contact and would not be able to provide flight following below 7,000 ft msl. The pilot replied that he understood and would be performing airwork for about 1 hour before returning to CMA. The controller continued to monitor the airplane during the flight. At 0924, the pilot advised the controller that he would be descending and that he may lose him for a few minutes. He added that he would then climb to 9,000 ft msl and return to CMA, and the controller acknowledged. Subsequently, the controller made several attempts to contact the pilot, but no further response was received from him.

Review of radar data provided by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) revealed a primary target, consistent with the accident airplane, performing multiple turns and rapidly changing altitude and airspeed. At 0845, the airplane was traveling on an eastbound heading at 3,400 ft above ground level (agl), and during the next 2 minutes, it climbed over rising terrain. Over the next 8 minutes, the airplane's speed varied and reached 325 knots and continued to make multiple turns and rapid changes in altitude and descended to within less than 100 ft above a mountain ridgeline. The airplane then continued to the northwest over lower terrain before turning southbound. During the next 18 minutes, the airplane performed multiple turns at altitudes between 2,000 and 3,000 ft agl. During the last 6 minutes of the flight, the airplane performed a 360° descending right turn near a residence at the lower entrance of Quatal Canyon at an altitude of about 3,600 ft, descending to 1,600 ft agl. The airplane headed westbound for 3 minutes and then returned to the lower entrance of Quatal Canyon. At 0924, the last radar targets showed the airplane heading eastbound above the canyon's dry river bed about 1,600 ft agl.

At 0925 radar contact was lost. Shortly after, an airplane in the area of the accident site reported to ATC that a small fire was located in a river bed. Local authorities responded to the fire and confirmed that it was the accident site.

A witness, located about 1 1/2 miles west of the accident site, reported seeing the airplane circle near her house about 500 to 800 ft agl. She stated that the engine sound was "loud and consistent." She added that she last saw the airplane fly eastbound, parallel to Quatal Canyon Road, and that shortly after saw dust and smoke rise high above a nearby mountain.

Another witness, located about 2 3/4 miles west-southwest of the accident site, reported seeing the airplane fly directly over his house in straight-and-level flight between 500 and 750 ft agl. He added that the engine sounded different than other airplanes that fly in the area but that it did not sound like anything was wrong. The airplane continued to fly straight and level in an easterly direction toward Quatal Canyon Road.

PERSONNEL INFORMATION

The pilot held a private pilot certificate with airplane single-engine land and rotorcraft ratings. He held an FAA second-class airman medical certificate, issued on June 19, 2015, with the limitation that he must wear corrective lenses.

According to the pilot's logbooks, he had accumulated 891.2 total flight hours in fixed wing aircraft and rotorcraft. He had accumulated 76.9 hours in the accident airplane make and model, 27.8 hours of which were in the previous 6 months. The pilot successfully completed his most recent flight review on January 14, 2015, in the accident airplane.

AIRCRAFT INFORMATION

The two-seat, low-wing airplane, serial number (S/N) T31, was manufactured in 1989. It was powered by a Honeywell (Garrett) TPE331-12B-703A engine, S/N P-65617, rated at 1,100 shaft horsepower at a propeller speed of 2,000 rpm. The airplane was equipped with a Hartzell propeller, model HC-D4N-5C. Review of the maintenance records showed that an annual inspection was completed on October 20, 2014. The airplane was produced to meet stringent military requirements and was designed for high-g landing loads; advanced fatigue testing; and spin tests, including inverted spins, at all altitude.

METEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION

Data recorded by the Meadows Field Airport, Bakersfield, California, automated weather observation station, located about 41 miles northeast of the accident site, included winds from 180° at 4 knots, visibility clear, temperature 24°C, dew point 3°C, and an altimeter setting of 30.01 inches of mercury.

WRECKAGE AND IMPACT INFORMATION

Examination of the accident site revealed that the airplane was destroyed by high-impact forces and postimpact fire, which was observed along the debris path; the fire burned about 1 acre of land surrounding the accident site. The wreckage, including all major structural airplane components and primary flight controls, was located in a dry creek bed and was contained within a debris path that was about 641 ft long and 355 ft wide.

The first identified point of contact (FIPC) was a trough of disturbed ground about 2 ft wide, 20 ft long, and 1 ft deep, consistent with an airplane attitude of 45-degrees nose down and right wing downward about 90-degrees from level flight. The wreckage debris path was oriented along a magnetic heading of about 360° from the FIPC to the main wreckage. A green light emitting diode navigation light was found near the FIPC. At the end of the trough was a crater, about 11 ft in diameter and 5 ft deep. Two separated propeller blades, a landing gear strut with the wheel attached, and distorted pieces of sheet metal were found in and near the crater. The dirt in the crater was discolored and smelled of fuel. A third propeller blade, the wing and fuselage sections, and the engine bull gear assembly were found between the crater and the main wreckage.

The main wreckage was located about 180 ft from the FIPC and included the empennage, aft fuselage, firewall, and engine, and the wreckage was twisted and distorted. Wire bundles and cabin instrumentation were found with the main wreckage, and all of it was burned and crushed. The fourth propeller blade was located about 80 ft past the main wreckage. All four propeller blades revealed S-type bending, chordwise scoring, and leading-edge gouging near the tips.

The attached parachute and canopy were found in several sections past the main wreckage and in line with the center of the debris field. A single-point refueling port was found 641 ft from the FIPC and was the last piece of wreckage found along the debris path.

The aft fuselage and tail section structure were partially intact, and cable control continuity was confirmed to the midsection of the fuselage. The aileron control cables were found with the main wreckage. All primary flight controls were found in the debris field.

The engine exhibited thermal discoloration and impact damage. The first stage of the compressor section was visible, and all of the blades exhibited rotational signatures. The third stage was also visible from the damaged housing and exhibited rotational signatures.

Follow-up Examination

The wreckage was relocated to a secure facility where a layout examination took place. The examination of the wreckage revealed no evidence of any preimpact mechanical malfunctions or failures that would have precluded normal operation. The wing sections exhibited leading edge crush damage. The main spar was found in several sections with bending near the midsection. Each of the ailerons were found in two 3-ft sections. The wing flaps exhibited signatures suggesting that they were in the retracted position during impact. Both elevators and horizontal stabilizers were impact damaged and crushed. The trim actuator shaft had separated midspan, and 45° shear lips were observed on the separation surfaces. The trim actuator shaft was measured from the shaft bolt to the rubber seal and was 3.845 inches long, which equated to about a 0.5° (near neutral) pitch trim position. The rudder and vertical stabilizer sustained impact damage and remained attached via the rudder control cables. The vertical stabilizer and aft fuselage remained secure at all the attachment points.

The propeller assembly, which had separated from the engine during the accident sequence, was impact damaged. The cylinder, piston, feathering spring, and hub were found separated into numerous sections. Hub sections were removed from two of the four blade shanks. The blades revealed leading edge gouging and chordwise scoring from the shank areas to the tips. Two of the blades were bent rearward from the midsection to the tip and had a decreased pitch twist from the midsection to the tip. Another blade had a slight rearward bend, and the last blade was bent forward from the midsection to the tip. For further information, refer to the Hartzell Propeller Teardown Report in the public docket for this accident.

The engine was found separated in three major sections: the bull gear, second-stage compressor housing and impeller, and the turbine stator outer vane support housing. Other loose engine parts were found in the debris field. The engine exhibited damage signatures consistent with the engine operating during impact. For further information, refer to the Honeywell Aerospace Engine Wreckage Examination Notes in the public docket for this accident.

The cabin instruments had separated from the instrument panel and were impact damaged. The rpm gauge face had separated from the instrument housing and was bent; white paint transfer marks were visible near the '100' displayed on the face. The torque gauge face had white paint transfer marks between the '80' and '100' displayed on the face.

MEDICAL AND PATHOLOGICAL INFORMATION

The pilot was ejected from the airplane during the accident sequence. The Ventura County Coroner's Office did not conduct an autopsy on the pilot because of the condition of the body. The pilot had reported high cholesterol and the use of the prescription drugs rosuvastatin and fenofibrate to treat it to the FAA.

The FAA's Bioaeronautical Sciences Research Laboratory performed toxicology testing of the pilot's muscle tissue. The testing detected 0.046 gm/dl of ethanol, 2.033 ug/g of butalbital (the therapeutic range is between 1 and 10 ug/ml), and 0.033 ug/g of codeine.

Ethanol may be detected due to ingestion, or it may also be produced by postmortem microbial activity in the body. Ethanol significantly impairs pilots' performance even at low levels. FAA regulations prohibit any person from acting or attempting to act as a crewmember of a civil aircraft while having 0.040 gm/dl or more ethanol in the blood.

Butalbital and codeine are frequently combined with acetaminophen, aspirin, and/or caffeine in prescription medications to treat pain or headaches. The combination of the two drugs carries the following warning: "Butalbital, Acetaminophen, Caffeine, and Codeine Phosphate Capsules may impair mental and/or physical abilities required for the performance of potentially hazardous tasks such as driving a car or operating machinery. Such tasks should be avoided while taking this combination product. Alcohol and other CNS [central nervous system] depressants may produce an additive CNS depression when taken with this combination product and should be avoided."

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 26, 2017 - 10:22 PM   
 By:   Jim Cleveland   (Member)

Thank you for posting this... I'd asked on here before if anyone knew what the final findings were.....now we know... it could've been avoided. frown

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 26, 2017 - 10:38 PM   
 By:   Avatarded   (Member)

There are accompanying PDF documents covering all aspects of the investigation, which unfortunately include a few details into why it was difficult to pinpoint the exact cause.

https://dms.ntsb.gov/pubdms/search/hitlist.cfm?docketID=60079&CurrentPage=1&EndRow=15&StartRow=1&order=1&sort=0&TXTSEARCHT=

 
 Posted:   Jul 26, 2017 - 11:41 PM   
 By:   Amer Zahid   (Member)

A very sad reminder for all of us. RIP James Horner.

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 27, 2017 - 9:42 AM   
 By:   Zooba   (Member)

I just wish he would have gone up with one of his Horseman buddies for extra safety. It was a 2 seat aircraft. His loss was so tragic. He is profoundly missed.

Rest in Peace dear Maestro.

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 27, 2017 - 11:19 AM   
 By:   Howard L   (Member)

The drug impairment aspect is noteworthy.

 
 Posted:   Jul 27, 2017 - 11:45 AM   
 By:   Solium   (Member)

One thing you wish for when ever someone dies is that it was instant and painless. Safe to say that was the case here.

 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 1:16 AM   
 By:   Ian J.   (Member)

It's always sad to think about Horner's death, but this report does at least give us some insight as to why it happened. Unfortunately, it appears to confirm a trend for celebrities to be as vulnerable to powerful prescription drugs as anyone else. It's less of an issue in the U.K. where it's not so easy for us to get such things, but it appears to be all to easy in the U.S. What is perhaps a little galling is that it appears pretty clear in pilot guidance not to fly under any drug influence, but Horner chose to go and fly while dosed up. I would have hoped he had a bit more sense than that.

However, R.I.P. Mr Horner. You and your music are still much missed.

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 4:10 AM   
 By:   Peter Greenhill   (Member)

Interesting but sad report. A tragic loss to the film and music communities but more particularly to his family and friends.

May he continue to Rest In Peace...

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 7:54 AM   
 By:   Avatarded   (Member)

What is perhaps a little galling is that it appears pretty clear in pilot guidance not to fly under any drug influence, but Horner chose to go and fly while dosed up. I would have hoped he had a bit more sense than that.


I've been reading about the medications he was taking, specifically the ones for tension / stress headaches which ironically, the forces aerobatic pilots put themselves under can actually be a major cause of such headaches. I suspect he took medications for headaches to be able to tolerate those forces, which as a side effect impaired his abilities and slowed his reaction time.

 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 8:07 AM   
 By:   Grecchus   (Member)

That's a lot of documentation released. It's not clear if Horner's Tucano, purchased from RS Warbirds, was one with the updated Garmin 600 glass cockpit instrumentation suite or if, perhaps, he requested it with the original steam gauge cockpit instruments left unchanged.

His plane went down much closer to the western-most side of the canyon than I'd thought - very close to the canyon opening on the Ventucopa side, where the natural fanning out of the canyon's limit is much wider than it is further eastwards.

I can't understand why he'd be pulling high gees at that type of location. Maybe it offered more of a challenge with the up slope going east, and the constraints of the ridge slopes at the northern and southern extents of the canyon 'walls' than was offered by the flat plain to the north west?

Having looked at Google Maps, one can see the wreckage field is actually located where Quatal Canyon road is at its closest approach to the dried river bed as it meanders along the length of the canyon. Could it be coincidental, or could Horner have been deliberately using the fusing of the road and the northern edge of the riverbed as some sort of aiming point - the straight edge of the road making a tangent to the natural curve of the dried river bed?

 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 9:22 AM   
 By:   Solium   (Member)

From what I gather there's no determination for the cause of the crash in the report. It's just a Crash Report. So saying the medications were the problem is jumping to conclusions. Could've been the stunt flying/pilot error, mechanical problems, the drugs or a combination of any of those. We don't always understand or necessarily agree with someones actions, but bottom line he died doing what he loved.

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 10:10 AM   
 By:   Avatarded   (Member)

From what I gather there's no determination for the cause of the crash in the report. It's just a Crash Report. So saying the medications were the problem is jumping to conclusions. Could've been the stunt flying/pilot error, mechanical problems, the drugs or a combination of any of those. We don't always understand or necessarily agree with someones actions, but bottom line he died doing what he loved.

The report did not find any evidence of mechanical problems, and if medication is jumping to conclusions, tell that to the NTSB, since they stated above (requoted):

"The butalbital was within the therapeutic level, indicating that he was likely impaired by it. The presence of both codeine and butalbital indicates that the pilot had likely recently used a combination product that contained at least these two medications. Therefore, it is likely that the pilot's mental and/or physical abilities required for the duration of the high workload flight performance was impaired by the combined effects of butalbital and codeine and that this impairment contributed to the accident.


The National Transportation Safety Board determines the probable cause(s) of this accident as follows:
The pilot's failure to maintain clearance from terrain during low-level airwork, which resulted in uncontrolled collision with terrain. Contributing to the accident was the pilot's impairment from the combined effects of butalbital and codeine."

That does not discredit the fact that he died indeed doing what he loved to do, but this is the sad reality of the situation, again, based on the NTSB findings that is their conclusion for the cause of the crash. If this isn't enough, the many PDF documents in the docket go into even more detail.

Bottom line is it's not really much of a mystery anymore. Now we know to the best of these experts' knowledge.

 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 10:29 AM   
 By:   RoryR   (Member)

What does it mean that he was performing airwork? Was he doing stunts? Was this like something out of The Blue Max?

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 10:56 AM   
 By:   Avatarded   (Member)

What does it mean that he was performing airwork? Was he doing stunts? Was this like something out of The Blue Max?

That's what Horner was all about when it came to flying, yes. Just like going to air shows.

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 3:30 PM   
 By:   betenoir   (Member)

What does it mean that he was performing airwork? Was he doing stunts? Was this like something out of The Blue Max?

NTSB defines airwork as performing basic aerial maneuvers, which would include practicing turns, climbing, descending, stalls and recovery, etc., but would not include aerobatics (aka stunts).

 
 Posted:   Jul 28, 2017 - 7:10 PM   
 By:   Grecchus   (Member)

A fair percentage of Horner's total logged flight hours were in the Tucano. Looks like it was the skybound love of his life. I don't really think the "airwork" was basic flight evolutions. It's clear Horner was pushing both himself and the plane energetically. The trough made by the initial ground impact marking in the dry creek bed was in north/south alignment.

The aircraft had zero trim pitch set, according to the evidence. I think that if a pilot is flying straight and level, there would be a trim input set to raise the nose slightly, so that the pilot doesn't have to keep pulling back or pushing forward on the control stick in order to keep straight and level. As the pitch was set to neutral this could mean Horner intended to keep the elevator trim 'clean' so that laminar airflow around it would be as undisturbed or unspoiled as possible. That would mean he would provide the required stick inputs to orient the aircraft as desired. So, I think he entered a loop with neutral trim to slice his aircraft though the air with minimal obstruction to the airflow.

It looks to me as though he flew a loop not in line with Quatal Canyon Road, but at an approximate right angle to it, so that the span of his wings aligned with the road in a left to right sense. On entering the loop his left wing would face to the west and his right wing to the east. Seeing this pictorial evidence in full suggests to me he was using the canyon road as a datum line, with the curve of the creek bed meeting with the road being used as a very obvious sighting spot to keep track of position. In other words, he performed a loop not in line with the canyon's overall direction and length, but side-wall to side-wall. There is a discrepancy in that it would seem the Tucano's right wing struck the ground first. The only way I can make sense of this is by noting that as the canyon slopes upwards in an easterly direction, if Horner's artificial horizon instrument was providing him with wings level information, then not being able to clear the ground suggests the right wing would indeed strike the ground before the left one.

It could be that when he reached the bottom of the loop, Horner intended to roll the plane to the right, although, why anyone would want to turn when so critically close to the ground is somewhat nonsensical. But lets just say he did have a few feet of clearance at the bottom of the loop, then turning right could cause his right wing tip to strike the ground. This would trace a line in the ground until inevitably, the aircraft would cartwheel causing it's main body to impact, so generating the main crater before the broken up plane parts flung themselves left, right and centre.

Does anyone else have a credible alternate suggestion?

Edit: there is another account I've found on the web where someone thinks the right wing digging in would not have affected the plane's trajectory. With the plane just about completely on it's right side and angled nose down, the wing would have eroded from the tip all the way to the wing root before the nose went in and embedded the heavy engine, causing the crater. The rear end of the fuselage could then have broken off, having maybe flipped over and continued onwards with it's residual momentum. There is the puzzle of why certain parts of the left and right sides of the plane on the debris field appear to be on the opposite sides to what you'd expect, however, that could be explained if the plane had become more or less inverted by the time the nose dug in. I'm not at all sure what the implications are if the propeller blades bite into the ground causing a fairly tremendous transfer of rotational energy from the engine shaft to the airframe. Would that force the plane into an inverted attitude with respect to the ground before the full effects of the impact could be felt?

 
 
 Posted:   Jul 29, 2017 - 11:38 AM   
 By:   leagolfer   (Member)

The facts from any-one will never be 100% true, Horner has flown many times with prescribed Drugs, if its any-think, I would put it down to a defect on plane.

 
 Posted:   Jul 29, 2017 - 12:30 PM   
 By:   Amer Zahid   (Member)

A fair percentage of Horner's total logged flight hours were in the Tucano. Looks like it was the skybound love of his life. I don't really think the "airwork" was basic flight evolutions. It's clear Horner was pushing both himself and the plane energetically. The trough made by the initial ground impact marking in the dry creek bed was in north/south alignment.

The aircraft had zero trim pitch set, according to the evidence. I think that if a pilot is flying straight and level, there would be a trim input set to raise the nose slightly, so that the pilot doesn't have to keep pulling back or pushing forward on the control stick in order to keep straight and level. As the pitch was set to neutral this could mean Horner intended to keep the elevator trim 'clean' so that laminar airflow around it would be as undisturbed or unspoiled as possible. That would mean he would provide the required stick inputs to orient the aircraft as desired. So, I think he entered a loop with neutral trim to slice his aircraft though the air with minimal obstruction to the airflow.

It looks to me as though he flew a loop not in line with Quatal Canyon Road, but at an approximate right angle to it, so that the span of his wings aligned with the road in a left to right sense. On entering the loop his left wing would face to the west and his right wing to the east. Seeing this pictorial evidence in full suggests to me he was using the canyon road as a datum line, with the curve of the creek bed meeting with the road being used as a very obvious sighting spot to keep track of position. In other words, he performed a loop not in line with the canyon's overall direction and length, but side-wall to side-wall. There is a discrepancy in that it would seem the Tucano's right wing struck the ground first. The only way I can make sense of this is by noting that as the canyon slopes upwards in an easterly direction, if Horner's artificial horizon instrument was providing him with wings level information, then not being able to clear the ground suggests the right wing would indeed strike the ground before the left one.

It could be that when he reached the bottom of the loop, Horner intended to roll the plane to the right, although, why anyone would want to turn when so critically close to the ground is somewhat nonsensical. But lets just say he did have a few feet of clearance at the bottom of the loop, then turning right could cause his right wing tip to strike the ground. This would trace a line in the ground until inevitably, the aircraft would cartwheel causing it's main body to impact, so generating the main crater before the broken up plane parts flung themselves left, right and centre.

Does anyone else have a credible alternate suggestion?

Edit: there is another account I've found on the web where someone thinks the right wing digging in would not have affected the plane's trajectory. With the plane just about completely on it's right side and angled nose down, the wing would have eroded from the tip all the way to the wing root before the nose went in and embedded the heavy engine, causing the crater. The rear end of the fuselage could then have broken off, having maybe flipped over and continued onwards with it's residual momentum. There is the puzzle of why certain parts of the left and right sides of the plane on the debris field appear to be on the opposite sides to what you'd expect, however, that could be explained if the plane had become more or less inverted by the time the nose dug in. I'm not at all sure what the implications are if the propeller blades bite into the ground causing a fairly tremendous transfer of rotational energy from the engine shaft to the airframe. Would that force the plane into an inverted attitude with respect to the ground before the full effects of the impact could be felt?


If only NATGEO or Discovery Channel could reconstruct the accident in one of their NTSB related programs and asses. As sad as it is, I hope James Horner didn't suffer much in his final moments. That dried riverbed is still there on Google Map.


 
 Posted:   Jul 29, 2017 - 1:26 PM   
 By:   Grecchus   (Member)

Reading the notes on the Tucano, it seems the aircraft has a tendency for a wing to drop with little or no warning when it goes into a stall. It can happen in as little as half a second. That probably clears my confusion over the dropped right wing. If Horner did actually attempt a loop with incorrect parameters, then on the downward swing he may suddenly have realised he was closing with the ground too quickly. The natural instinct in that kind of situation would be to pull back on the control stick. If he didn't have sufficient airspeed, or, the extreme and sudden 'up' elevator somehow induced spoiled airflow over the airframe, the Tucano's right wing just happened to be the one to have suddenly dropped, with consequences we unfortunately have become familiar with.

I think he probably momentarily realised he was in trouble, but at 200+ knots his thought process would have ended just as the adrenalin rush started. I really believe he wouldn't have known a thing.

Edit: There are many complexities involved with the slipstream that swirls around an airframe due to the direction its propeller rotates, not to mention the torque effects involved. There is a YT discussion between Saburo Sakai and a Sumo Wrestler concerning certain characteristics of the Zero fighter. Sakai made it clear that to perform a loop in the zero required not just pulling back on the stick, but also very heavy use of right rudder was needed to stop the plane from flopping to the left. As the aircraft got to the top of the loop and airspeed tailed off, the pressure on right rudder could be eased a bit. Then, as the plane started to gain speed in the dive, the right rudder pressure would have to increase until it was no longer required. It's all down to experience.

 
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