Would be surprised if BABYLON scores a Best Picture nomination. More likely they'll feel obliged to acknowledge AVATAR's box office clout.
Can't see McDonagh missing out on a nomination for Directing (nor should he, IMHO -- BANSHEES was my best film of the year). All of Chazelle, Inarritu and Chan-Wook seem unlikely to me; Kosinski, the Daniels and Luhrmann are better bets.
THE WOMAN KING might get nods under the inclusivity quota but EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE conveniently soaks up a lot of that energy -- Yeoh for Best Actress. (I found EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE a mite tiresome and aesthetically ugly.)
Carter Burwell will get a nomination and could win partly for the Bulgarian love-chant he ddn't compose.
THE MENU was the most curiously underrated film of the year, superior to TRIANGLE OF SADNESS in every way. Would love to see it get some belated recognition (and maybe it will if enough screeners are sent out).
I just watched Amsterdam and was very disappointed in the movie but the SOUNDTRACK I cannot stop listening to it! I have noticed a number of movies from this past year in a similar situation where the movie was adequate but the soundtrack was impeccable.
Any sequel is considered an adaptation because it is based on a previous work (the original movie). There have occasionally been questionable exceptions, such as the Original Screenplay nomination for The Barbarian Invasions, which reunited the characters from The Decline of the American Empire.
I was definitely tempted to include Mia Goth on my personal list; that was a hell of a performance.
If that monologue were in a non-horror movie, Goth would be a shoo-in for an Oscar nomination. Too bad the Academy has a shameful bias against horror movies.
I definitely think X should have been shortlisted for makeup - I had no idea throughout the entire film that was Goth in that second role.
Some people think NOPE could get some major nominations, and that's definitely not the kind of movie that would have been thought of as an Oscar movie a few years ago.
