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I predict that BLACKKKLANSMAN will get all the noms that prognosticators think will go to BLACK PANTHER.
BRM
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Solo and Fallen Kingdom ain’t here, so I couldn’t be less interested if I tried.
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Of the ones on the shortlist
BLACK PANTHER
ISLE OF DOGS
One that should have been on the shortlist THE SISTERS BROTHERS (Desplat)
While THE BALLAD OF BUSTER SCRUGGS is a cool score that works great for the film, I don't understand why it was not disqualified for being substantially adapted material. GODFATHER II was disqualified back in the day and a MUCH smaller percentage of that score was not new material.
It baffles me the scores that don't get disqualified these days --
Anomalisa - Burwell adapting his own score for the audio play that the film was based on.
Beauty and the Beast [2017] - Menken adapting his own Oscar-winning score from the 1991 film.
The Hateful Eight - the principal cues in the middle of the film are tracked in from Exorcist II and The Thing.
Just a correction to your post, however -- Godfather II actually won Original Score (beating Chinatown, Murder on the Orient Express, Shanks and The Towering Inferno).
And technically, the original Godfather score, which did lose its nomination, wasn't truly disqualified -- when it came out that the "Speak Softly Love" melody was from an earlier Rota score, the branch re-voted on the fifth nomination among Godfather and the five shortlisted scores that weren't nominated (Ben, Fellini's Roma, Life and Times of Judge Roy Bean, The Other, Sleuth), with Sleuth ultimately replacing Godfather.
I know, it's fair to argue that Godfather was ultimately disqualified, but since it was still in the running for the re-vote, I'd say it's not technically true. "But it feels true," to quote Rosie O'Donnell in Sleepless in Seattle (a film that otherwise won't ever be quoted by me).
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And its also somehow obvious, while listening to the 2018 roundup compilation, that even there are better scores out there ,the academy just sticks to the usual suspects..
All in al a pretty mediocre year.
Desplat sticks out for me though.( Well a usual suspect indeed )
I'd argue that in a year where they shortlisted Christopher Willis and Salisbury/Barrow, they didn't just stick to the usual suspects. (though I have to admit, a nomination for either Death of Stalin or Annihilation would be a big surprise).
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